博斯腾湖滨柽柳(Tamarix ramosissina)生长对湖水位的敏感性     

侯佳文  海米提·依米提  叶茂 《中国沙漠》2015,35(3)

基于博斯腾湖1955—2012年湖水位变化资料,利用树木年轮法分析了博斯腾湖年和月水位变化与湖滨柽柳(Tamarix ramosissina)年轮生长关系,利用敏感度指数得出博斯腾湖滨柽柳年轮生长的敏感水位范围。结果表明:(1)1955—2012年博斯腾湖年平均水位经历了3个明显变化阶段,即1955—1987年下降至最低,1987—2002年上升至最高。受向下游生态输水影响,2002—2012年博斯腾湖水位快速下降。输水对博斯腾湖月平均水位和季节性水位变化有影响。(2)博斯腾湖滨柽柳年轮指数与当年的湖水位变化和前1年的湖水位变化均显著相关(p0.05)。柽柳年轮指数与前1年10月至当年4月各个月份的湖水位表现出显著相关(p0.05)。柽柳年轮指数与前1年冬季湖水位相关显著(p0.05),与当年春季3—4月月平均湖水位相关性显著,与当年夏季和秋季湖水位的相关性不显著。(3)博斯腾湖滨柽柳年轮生长对月湖水位变化响应比较敏感。当湖水位在1045.3m时,柽柳年轮指数灵敏度指数(Sk)存在最低值;当湖水位在1 046.3m时,Sk出现最高值。  相似文献   

基于改进的两步移动搜索法的山区医疗服务空间可达性——以重庆市石柱县为例   总被引：3，自引：3，他引：0  

邓丽  邵景安  郭跃  徐新良 《地理科学进展》2015,34(6)

针对贫困山区医疗资源短缺、分布不均衡、服务能力差等问题,以重庆市石柱县为例,基于自然村尺度,采用改进的两步移动搜索法,从供需角度分析研究区医疗服务空间可达性特征。设置不同的时间阻抗进行敏感性分析,探究可达性变化规律。通过对石柱县医疗资源空间布局的均衡性评价,为山区未来医疗布局的合理规划与医疗标准的配备提供决策依据。结果表明:1石柱县整体医疗服务可达性差,低于重庆市平均水平。2县域医疗资源布局不均衡,空间差异明显。高值区主要集中在方斗山中低山区和黄水镇,低值区主要集中在南部中山区,两极分异明显。3医院的规模、级别,道路的等级、疏密对可达性有一定的影响:靠近县城的乡镇、路网密集的地方可达性一般较好。4随着出行阻抗的增大,医疗服务的可达性随之变好,边缘乡镇的可达性随之变差,可达性值变化幅度减缓,医疗服务空间可达性分异变小;医疗资源配备充足的乡镇,随着时间阻抗增加,对周边乡镇可达性的影响增强。  相似文献   

利用控制点三维信息标定机载双天线干涉SAR参数   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

张薇  向茂生  吴一戎 《测绘学报》2010,39(4):370-377

采用基于敏感度方程的方法,研究基于三维重建模型下的机载双天线干涉SAR系统的干涉参数定标问题.干涉参数定标是生成高精度数字高程模型的关键.本文修正了Madsen提出的干涉SAR三维重建的视向量正交分解算法,采用电磁波波前的球面波模型,加入了载机的姿态旋转,构建一种新的干涉SAR三维重建模型.利用各干涉参数对控制点三维信息的不同的敏感性,提出分别利用地面控制点三维信息,对各干涉参数进行定标.并利用中国科学院电子学研究所自主设计、研制的机载干涉SAR系统数据,进行定标处理实验验证.  相似文献   

Effects of different types of mechanical disturbances on a charophyte dominated macrophyte community     

Kaire Torn  Georg MartinJonne Kotta  Maarit Kupp 《Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science》2010

Charophytes are unique and endangered macroalgae. Mechanical stress is known to damage charophyte communities, however, virtually nothing is known how such disturbance affect seasonal succession and recovery of charophyte communities. We examined the response of a shallow water charophyte community to different types and timing of disturbances by conducting seasonal in situ field experiment in a brackish water ecosystem. The disturbances associated with mechanical removal of vegetation or sediment had the largest impact on the charophyte community. Disturbances that only partly damaged the plants had minor effects and communities were characterized by fast recovery. The timing of disturbance had significant effects on the charophyte community with stronger effects when disturbed at the early stage compared to mid-stage of seasonal succession.  相似文献   

Curve‐Number/Green–Ampt mixed procedure for streamflow predictions in ungauged basins: Parameter sensitivity analysis     

S. Grimaldi  A. Petroselli  N. Romano 《水文研究》2013,27(8):1265-1275

A procedure combining the Soil Conservation Service‐Curve Number (SCS‐CN) method and the Green–Ampt (GA) infiltration equation was recently developed to overcome some of the drawbacks of the classic SCS‐CN approach when estimating the volume of surface runoff at a sub‐daily time resolution. The rationale of this mixed procedure, named Curve Number for Green–Ampt (CN4GA), is to use the GA infiltration model to distribute the total volume of the net hyetograph (rainfall excess) provided by the SCS‐CN method over time. The initial abstraction and the total volume of rainfall given by the SCS‐CN method are used to identify the ponding time and to quantify the hydraulic conductivity parameter of the GA equation. In this paper, a sensitivity analysis of the mixed CN4GA parameters is presented with the aim to identify conditions where the mixed procedure can be effectively used within the Prediction in Ungauged Basin perspective. The effects exerted by changes in selected input parameters on the outputs are evaluated using rectangular and triangular synthetic hyetographs as well as 100 maximum annual storms selected from synthetic rainfall time series. When applied to extreme precipitation events, which are characterized by predominant peaks of rainfall, the CN4GA appears to be rather insensitive to the input hydraulic parameters of the soil, which is an interesting feature of the CN4GA approach and makes it an ideal candidate for the rainfall excess estimation at sub‐daily temporal resolution at ungauged sites. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Investigating controls on the thermal sensitivity of Pennsylvania streams     

C. Kelleher  T. Wagener  M. Gooseff  B. McGlynn  K. McGuire  L. Marshall 《水文研究》2012,26(5):771-785

Stream temperature, an important measure of ecosystem health, is expected to be altered by future changes in climate and land use, potentially leading to shifts in habitat distribution for aquatic organisms dependent on particular temperature regimes. To assess the sensitivity of stream temperature to change in a region where such a shift has the potential to occur, we examine the variability of and controls on the direct relationship between air and water temperature across the state of Pennsylvania. We characterized the relationship between air and stream temperature via linear and nonlinear regression for 57 sites across Pennsylvania at daily and weekly timescales. Model fit (r²) improved for 92% (daily) and 65% (weekly) of sites for nonlinear versus linear relationships. Fit for weekly versus daily regression analysis improved by 0·08 for linear and 0·06 for nonlinear regression relationships. To investigate the mechanisms controlling stream temperature sensitivity to environmental change, we define ‘thermal sensitivity’ as the sensitivity of stream temperature of a given site to change in air temperature, quantified as the slope of the regression line between air and stream temperature. Air temperature accounted for 60–95% of the daily variation in stream temperature for sites at or above a Strahler stream order (SO) of 3, with thermal sensitivities ranging from low (0·02) to high (0·93). The sensitivity of stream temperature to air temperature is primarily controlled by stream size (SO) and baseflow contribution. Together, SO and baseflow index explained 43% of the variance in thermal sensitivity across the state, and 59% within the Susquehanna River Basin. In small streams, baseflow contribution was the major determinant of thermal sensitivity, with increasing baseflow contributions resulting in decreasing sensitivity values. In large streams, thermal sensitivity increased with stream size, as a function of accumulated heat throughout the stream network. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Sensitivity of soil parameters in unsaturated zone modelling and the relation between effective,laboratory and in situ estimates     

J. Mertens  H. Madsen  M. Kristensen  D. Jacques  J. Feyen 《水文研究》2005,19(8):1611-1633

Simulation of soil moisture content requires effective soil hydraulic parameters that are valid at the modelling scale. This study investigates how these parameters can be estimated by inverse modelling using soil moisture measurements at 25 locations at three different depths (at the surface, at 30 and 60 cm depth) on an 80 by 20 m hillslope. The study presents two global sensitivity analyses to investigate the sensitivity in simulated soil moisture content of the different hydraulic parameters used in a one‐dimensional unsaturated zone model based on Richards' equation. For estimation of the effective parameters the shuffled complex evolution algorithm is applied. These estimated parameters are compared to their measured laboratory and in situ equivalents. Soil hydraulic functions were estimated in the laboratory on 100 cm³ undisturbed soil cores collected at 115 locations situated in two horizons in three profile pits along the hillslope. Furthermore, in situ field saturated hydraulic conductivity was estimated at 120 locations using single‐ring pressure infiltrometer measurements. The sensitivity analysis of 13 soil physical parameters (saturated hydraulic conductivity (K_s), saturated moisture content (θ_s), residual moisture content (θ_r), inverse of the air‐entry value (α), van Genuchten shape parameter (n), Averjanov shape parameter (N) for both horizons, and depth (d) from surface to B horizon) in a two‐layer single column model showed that the parameter N is the least sensitive parameter. K_s of both horizons, θ_s of the A horizon and d were found to be the most sensitive parameters. Distributions over all locations of the effective parameters and the distributions of the estimated soil physical parameters from the undisturbed soil samples and the single‐ring pressure infiltrometer estimates were found significantly different at a 5% level for all parameters except for α of the A horizon and K_s and θ_s of the B horizon. Different reasons are discussed to explain these large differences. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Improvement of photorefractive properties in Hf:Fe:LiNbO₃ crystals with various [Li]/[Nb] ratios     

孙秀冬  石宏新  骆素华  孟庆鑫  姜永远 《海洋学报(英文版)》2010,29(9)

Photorefractive properties of Hf:Fe:LiNbO₃ crystals with various [Li]/[Nb] ratios have been investigated at 488 nm wavelength based on the two-wave coupling experiment. High diffraction efficiency and large recording sensitivity are observed and explained. The decrease in Li vacancies is suggested to be the main contributor to the increase in the photoconductivity and subsequently to the induction of the improvement of recording sensitivity. The saturation diffraction efficiency is measured up to 80.2%, and simultaneously the recording sensitivity of 0.91 cm/J is achieved to in the Hf:Fe:LiNbO₃ crystal grown from the melt with the [Li]/[Nb] ratio of 1.20, which is significantly enhanced as compared with those of the Hf:Fe:LiNbO₃ crystal with the [Li]/[Nb] ratio of 0.94 in melt under the same experimental conditions. Experimental results definitely show that increasing the [Li]/[Nb] ratio in crystal is an effective method for Hf:Fe:LiNbO₃ crystal to improve its photorefractive properties.  相似文献   

Quantifying the effects of climate variability and human activities on runoff from the Laohahe basin in northern China using three different methods     

Shanhu Jiang  Liliang Ren  Bin Yong  V. P. Singh  Xiaoli Yang  Fei Yuan 《水文研究》2011,25(16):2492-2505

Much attention has recently been focused on the effects that climate variability and human activities have had on runoff. In this study, these effects are quantified using three methods, namely, multi‐regression, hydrologic sensitivity analysis, and hydrologic model simulation. A conceptual framework is defined to separate the effects. As an example, the change in annual runoff from the semiarid Laohahe basin (18 112 km²) in northern China was investigated. Non‐parametric Mann‐Kendall test, Pettitt test, and precipitation‐runoff double cumulative curve method were adopted to identify the trends and change‐points in the annual runoff from 1964 to 2008 by first dividing the long‐term runoff series into a natural period (1964–1979) and a human‐induced period (1980–2008). Then the three quantifying methods were calibrated and calculated, and they provided consistent estimates of the percentage change in mean annual runoff for the human‐induced period. In 1980–2008, human activities were the main factors that reduced runoff with contributions of 89–93%, while the reduction percentages due to changes in precipitation and potential evapotranspiration only ranged from 7 to 11%. For the various effects at different durations, human activities were the main reasons runoff decreased during the two drier periods of 1980–1989 and 2000–2008. Increased runoff during the wetter period of 1990–1999 is mainly attributed to climate variability. This study quantitatively separates the effects of climate variability and human activities on runoff, which can serve as a reference for regional water resources assessment and management. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

黄河“八七”分水方案的适应性评价与提升策略          下载免费PDF全文

王煜  彭少明  郑小康  尚文绣  蒋桂芹  周翔南 《水科学进展》2019,30(5):632-642

黄河"八七"分水方案是流域水资源管理的重要依据。颁布30余年来,黄河流域自然环境、经济社会等发生了显著变化,亟需科学认识分水方案对环境变化扰动的适应性。运用动力系统原理构建分水方案适应性的动力微分方程和综合评价模型,从敏感性、稳定性、抗力和恢复力4个方面建立包含20个指标的适应性评价指标体系,定量评价1999年以来分水方案的适应性,并采用HP（Hodrick-Prescott）滤波识别适应性变化趋势。结果表明:分水方案对环境变化的适应性良好,19年中63.2%的年份适应性值大于1;适应性先升后降,2005年达到峰值,之后逐渐降低,2014年起适应性值小于1,表现为不适应。分析影响分水方案适应性的主要因素,提出分水方案调整策略,为支撑流域水资源管理提供方向参考。  相似文献